02

Experience

• 2018

  Associate Professor

  Sharif University of Technology

  Tehran, Iran

• 2013

  Assistant Professor

  Sharif University of Technology

  Tehran, Iran

• 2009

  Killam Scholar

  The University of British Columbia

  Vancouver, BC, Canada

• 2007

  Research Assistant

  The University of British Columbia

  Vancouver, BC, Canada

• 2006

  Civil Engineer

  Iran Water and Power Resources Development Co.

  Tehran, Iran

04

Awards & Honors

• 2024

  Research Excellence Award

  Sharif University of Technology

• 2024

  Teaching Excellence Award

  Sharif University of Technology

• 2024

  Mentoring Excellence Award

  Iran's National Elites Foundation

• 2024

  Distinguished Industry Project Award

  Ministry of Science, Research, and Technology

• 2023

  Outstanding Research Award

  Tehran Urban Forum

  15^th Festival on Research and Innovation in Urban Management, Tehran, Iran

• 2022

  Dr. Mojtahedi’s Innovation Award

  SUTA, California

• 2021

  Student Appreciation Award

  Department of Civil Engineering, Sharif University of Technology

• 2020

  Outstanding Research Award

  Tehran Urban Forum

  12^th Festival on Research and Innovation in Urban Management, Tehran, Iran

• 2019

  ASCE Journal of Structural Engineering Editor’s Choice Paper

  American Society of Civil Engineers, USA

• 2019

  Two Distinguished Research Awards

  Tehran Award

  11^th Festival on Research and Innovation in Urban Management, Tehran, Iran

• 2019

  Teaching Excellence Award

  Sharif University of Technology

• 2015

  Outstanding Research Award

  Tehran International Award

  8^th Festival on Research and Innovation in Urban Management, Tehran, Iran

• 2015

  Two Outstanding Paper Awards

  Tehran International Award

  7^th International Conference on Seismology and Earthquake Engineering

• 2014

  National Award for Young Assistant Professors

  Iran's National Elites Foundation

• 2013

  Nominee for the Governor General of Canada’s Gold Medal

  Department of Civil Engineering, The University of British Columbia

• 2009

  Killam Doctoral Scholarship

  The University of British Columbia

  The most prestigious award available to graduate students at the University of British Columbia

• 2009

  Four-year Fellowship

  The University of British Columbia

• 2010

  Travel Award

  EERI: Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, USA

• 2007

  International Tuition Award

  The University of British Columbia

• 2007

  Brilliant Talent Award

  Sharif University of Technology

• 2006

  Graduated Summa Cum Laude from the Master’s Program

  Sharif University of Technology

  Ranked the 1^st amongst all Civil Engineering graduate students

06

Academic Service

• 2022 - Present

  Member of Tenure and Promotion Council

  Sharif University of Technology

• 2017 - Present

  Founding Member and Head of Infrastructure Resilience Group

  Center for Infrastructure Sustainability and Resilience Research • INSURER

• 2019 - Present

  Member of Grant Committee

  Sharif University of Technology

• 2019 - 2023

  Freshmen Advisor

  Department of Civil Engineering, Sharif University of Technology

• 2014 - Present

  ITC and Computer Lab Manager

  Department of Civil Engineering, Sharif University of Technology

• 2015 - 2018

  Member of Student Affairs Committee

  Department of Civil Engineering, Sharif University of Technology

• 2014 - Present

  Member of Education Committee

  Department of Civil Engineering, Sharif University of Technology

08

Journal Publications

• 2025

  Masoudifar, M., Mahsuli, M., Taciroglu, E. (2025) “Deep learning-based stochastic ground motion modeling using generative adversarial and convolutional neural networks,” Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering, 194: 109306 • DOI

• 2024

  Shabani, E., Albarello, D., Mahsuli, M., Eghbali, N., Hosseini Varzandeh, S., Farnetani, F. (2024) “Seismic hazard assessment for Iran in terms of macroseismic intensity,” Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, 22: 4823–4842 • DOI

• Hosseini Varzandeh, S., Mahsuli, M., Kashani, H., Dolatshahi, K.M., Hamidia M. (2024) “Seismic performance of buildings during the magnitude 7.3 Kermanshah, Iran earthquake,” Journal of Building Engineering, 91: 109522 • DOI

• Vaseghiamiri, S., Mahsuli, M., Ghannad, M.A., Zareian, F. (2024) “Metamodeling framework for multivariate probabilistic prediction of story drift profile of multistory buildings,” ASCE Journal of Structural Engineering, 150(3): 04024009 • DOI

• Hosseini Varzandeh, S., Mahsuli, M. (2024) “Probabilistic framework for robust optimal code calibration through minimization of the lifecycle cost and its uncertainty,” Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, 22: 1719–1747 • DOI

• Noorbala Tafti, H., Mahsuli, M. (2024) “Probabilistic models for prediction of the yield stress of rebars and compressive strength of concrete based on Bayesian linear regression,” Sharif Journal of Civil Engineering, 40(2): 87-100 • DOI

• 2023

  Hosseini Varzandeh, S., Mahsuli, M. (2023) “Codified robust optimal design base shear of structures: Methodology and application to reinforced concrete buildings,” Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering, 174: 108200 • DOI

• Ameri Fard Nasrand, M.A., Mahsuli, M., Ghahari, S.F., Taciroglu, E. (2023) “Bayesian model selection considering model complexity using stochastic filtering,” Earthquake Engineering & Structural Dynamics, 52(10): 3120-3148 • DOI

• Taghizadeh, M., Mahsuli, M., Poorzahedy, H. (2023) “Probabilistic framework for evaluating the seismic resilience of transportation systems during emergency medical response,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 236: 109255 • DOI

• Habibi, K., Hosseini Varzandeh, S.S., Mahsuli, M. (2023) “Quantification of optimal target reliability for seismic design: Methodology and application to steel buildings,” Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering, 170: 107870 • DOI

• Shadabfar, M., Mahsuli, M., Xue, Y., Zhang, Y., Wu, C. (2023) “Time-variant system reliability analysis of concrete sewer pipes under corrosion considering multiple failure modes,” ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering, 9(1): 04023002 • DOI

• Shadabfar, M., Mahsuli, M., Sioofy Khoojine, A., Hosseini, V.R., Hong, A. (2023) “Randomized fractional SEIR-VQHP model with applications in COVID-19 data prediction,” Fractals, 31(4): 2340064 • DOI

• 2022

  Shadabfar, M., Mahsuli, M., Zhang, Y., Xue, Y., Huang, H. (2022) “Probabilistic data-driven framework for performance assessment of retaining walls against rockfalls,” Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics, 70: 103339 • DOI

• Sioofy Khoojine, A., Mahsuli, M., Shadabfar, M., Hosseini, V.R., Kordestani, H. (2022) “A proposed fractional dynamic system and Monte Carlo-based back analysis for simulating the spreading profile of COVID-19,” European Physical Journal: Special Topics, 231: 3427–3437 • DOI

• Shadabfar, M., Mahsuli, M., Zhang, Y., Xue, Y., Ayyub, B.M., Huang, H., Medina, R.A. (2022) “Resilience-based design of infrastructure: Review of models, methodologies, and computational tools,” ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering, 8(1): 03121004 • DOI

• 2021

  Ghahremani Baghmisheh, A., Mahsuli, M. (2021) “Seismic performance and fragility analysis of power distribution concrete poles,” Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering, 150: 106909 • DOI

• Shadabfar, M., Mahsuli, M., Sioofy Khoojine, A., Hosseini, V.R. (2021) “Time-variant reliability-based prediction of COVID-19 spread using extended SEIVR model and Monte Carlo sampling,” Results in Physics, 26: 104364 • DOI

• Rostami, F., Mahsuli, M., Ghahari, S.F., Taciroglu, E. (2021) “Bayesian joint state-parameter-input estimation of flexible-base buildings from sparse measurements using Timoshenko beam models,” ASCE Journal of Structural Engineering, 147(10): 04021151 • DOI

• Mahmoudkalayeh, S., Mahsuli, M. (2021) “Ramifications of blind adoption of load and resistance factors in building codes: Reliability-based assessment,” Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, 19(2): 963-986 • DOI

• 2020

  Nasrazadani, H., Mahsuli, M. (2020) “Probabilistic framework for evaluating community resilience: Integration of risk models and agent-based simulation,” ASCE Journal of Structural Engineering, 146 (11): 04020250 • DOI

• Vaseghiamiri, S., Mahsuli, M., Ghannad, M.A., Zareian, F. (2020) “Probabilistic approach to account for soil-structure interaction in seismic design of building structures,” ASCE Journal of Structural Engineering, 146 (9): 04020184 • DOI

• Vaseghiamiri, S., Mahsuli, M., Ghannad, M.A., Zareian, F. (2020) “Surrogate SDOF models for probabilistic performance assessment of multistory buildings: Methodology and application for steel special moment frames,” Engineering Structures, 212: 110276 • DOI

• Talebiyan, H., Mahsuli, M. (2020) “Sampling-based reliability sensitivity analysis using direct differentiation,” ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering, 6(2): 04020015 • DOI

• Abtahi, S., Mahsuli, M., Ghannad, M.A. (2020) “Probabilistic evaluation of soil-structure interaction effects on strength demands of shear buildings,” ASCE Journal of Structural Engineering, 146(1): 04019166 • DOI

• Yazdi-Samadi, M.R., Mahsuli, M. (2020) “Time-variant seismic risk analysis of transportation networks considering economic and socioeconomic impacts,” Journal of Earthquake Engineering, 24(5): 745-773 • DOI

• 2019

  Shoaei, P., Mahsuli, M. (2019) “Reliability-based design of steel moment frame structures isolated by lead-rubber bearing systems,” Structures, 20: 765-778 • DOI

• Mahmoudi, F., Dolatshahi, K.M., Mahsuli, M., Nikoukalam, M.T., Shahmohammadi, A. (2019) “Experimental study of steel moment resisting frames with shear link,” Journal of Constructional Steel Research, 154: 197-208 • DOI

• Aghababaei, M., Mahsuli, M. (2019) “Component damage models for detailed seismic risk analysis using structural reliability methods,” Structural Safety, 76: 108-122 • DOI

• Mahsuli, M., Haukaas, T. (2019) “Risk minimization for a portfolio of buildings considering risk aversion,” ASCE Journal of Structural Engineering, 145(2): 04018241 • DOI

• Rahimi, H., Mahsuli, M. (2019) “Structural reliability approach to analysis of probabilistic seismic hazard and its sensitivities,” Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, 17(3): 1331-1359 • DOI

• Mahsuli, M., Rahimi, H., Bakhshi, A. (2019) “Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis of Iran using reliability methods,” Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, 17(3): 1117-1143 • DOI

• Naderi, M., Mahsuli, M. (2019) “Uncertainty quantification in modeling of steel structures using Timoshenko beam,” Journal of Structural and Construction Engineering, 6(1): 27-42 • DOI

• 2018

  Rostami, P., Mahsuli, M. (2018) “Risk-optimal arrangement of stiffeners in steel plate shear walls with door opening,” Frontiers in Built Environment, 4: 59 • DOI

• Khosravikia, F., Mahsuli, M., Ghannad, M.A. (2018) “Soil-structure interaction in seismic design code: Risk-based evaluation,” ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering, 4(4): 04018033 • DOI

• Abtahi, S., Mahsuli, M., Ghannad, M.A. (2018) “Probabilistic evaluation of strength demands for multistory shear buildings,” ASCE Journal of Structural Engineering, 144(9): 04018154 • DOI

• Aghababaei, M., Mahsuli, M. (2018) “Detailed seismic risk analysis of buildings using structural reliability methods,” Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics, 53: 23-38 • DOI

• Basim, M.C., Estekanchi, H.E., Mahsuli, M. (2018) “Application of first-order reliability method in seismic loss assessment of structures with Endurance Time analysis," Earthquake and Structures, 14(5): 437-447 • DOI

• Khosravikia, F., Mahsuli, M., Ghannad, M.A. (2018) “The effect of soil-structure interaction on the seismic risk to buildings,” Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, 16(9): 3653–3673 • DOI

• Ghasemi, A., Mahsuli, M., Mortazavi, S.M.S. (2018) “Perception and communication of seismic risk: Design and implementation of a functional tool,” ASCE Natural Hazards Review, 19(2): 04017028 • DOI

• Talebiyan, H., Mahsuli, M. (2018) “Risk-based prioritization of a building portfolio for retrofit,” ASCE Journal of Structural Engineering, 144(1): 04017181 • DOI

• Shirzad-Ghaleroudkhani, N., Mahsuli, M., Ghahari, S.F., Taciroglu, E. (2018) “Bayesian identification of soil-foundation stiffness of building structures,” Structural Control and Health Monitoring, 25(3), e2090 • DOI

• 2017

  Nasrazadani, H., Mahsuli, M., Talebiyan, H., Kashani, H. (2017) “Probabilistic modeling framework for prediction of seismic retrofit cost of buildings,” ASCE Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 143(8): 04017055 • DOI

• Khosravikia, F., Mahsuli, M., Ghannad, M.A. (2017) “Probabilistic evaluation of 2015 NEHRP soil-structure interaction provisions,” ASCE Journal of Engineering Mechanics, 143(9): 04017065 • DOI

• Mirzaie, F., Mahsuli, M., Ghannad, M.A. (2017) “Probabilistic analysis of soil-structure interaction effects on the seismic performance of structures,” Earthquake Engineering & Structural Dynamics, 46: 641-660 • DOI

• 2016

  Ghasemi, A., Mahsuli, M. (2016) “Web-based system for evaluation and communication of seismic risk,” Journal of Seismology and Earthquake Engineering, 18(2): 79-90 • Link

• Mahsuli, M. (2016) “Resilience of civil infrastructure by optimal risk mitigation,” Scientia Iranica Transactions A: Civil Engineering, 23(5): 1961-1974 • DOI

• 2013

  Mahsuli, M., Haukaas, T. (2013) “Sensitivity measures for optimal mitigation of risk and reduction of model uncertainty,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 117: 9-20 • DOI

• Mahsuli, M., Haukaas, T. (2013) “Seismic risk analysis with reliability methods, part I: Models,” Structural Safety, 42: 54-62 • DOI

• Mahsuli, M., Haukaas, T. (2013) “Seismic risk analysis with reliability methods, part II: Analysis,” Structural Safety, 42: 63-74 • DOI

• Mahsuli, M., Haukaas, T. (2013) “Computer program for multimodel reliability and optimization analysis,” ASCE Journal of Computing in Civil Engineering, 27(1): 87-98 • DOI

• 2009

  Mahsuli, M., Ghannad, M.A. (2009) “The effect of foundation embedment on inelastic response of structures,” Earthquake Engineering & Structural Dynamics, 38(2): 423–437 • DOI

10

Research Team

• Postdoctoral Fellows

  Dr. Shaghayegh Vaseghiamiri

  2022-2023 ● Metamodels for regional seismic risk and resilience analysis

• Dr. Mahdi Shadabfar

  2020-2021 ● Performance-based reliability analysis of pipelines ● Reliability-based prediction of the spread profile of COVID-19

• PhD Students

  Hamidreza Noorbala Tafti

  2023-Present ● Community resilience analysis

• Sadjad Gharehbaghi

  2021-Present ● Resilience analysis of industrial facilities

• Mohsen Masoudifar

  2020-Present ● Deep learning for earthquake engineering

• Hesam Alinejad

  2019-Present ● Housing recovery in urban resilience analysis

Seyed Saeid Hosseini Varzandeh

2020-2024 ● Risk-based framework for optimal calibration of building seismic design provisions through minimization of lifecycle cost

• Parisa Rostami

  2019-2023 ● Rapid seismic damage detection using Bayesian identification

• Shaghayegh Vaseghiamiri

  2016-2020 ● Risk-based approach to account for soil-structure interaction in seismic design of building structures

• Master's Students

  Atiyeh Bagheri

  2023-Present ● Optimal code calibration based on lifecycle cost

• Mojtaba Jalili

  2023-Present ● Software development and blockchain computing

• Nikta TokazabaniBelasi

  2023-Present ● Systemic resilience analysis

• Borhan Gerami

  2022-2024 ● Optimization of post-disaster recovery: Integration of Bayesian network and agent-based simulation

• Mohammad Aghamohammadi

  2022-2024 ● Probabilistic framework for risk analysis of buildings under flood and earthquake hazards

• Sina Sepehri

  2022-2024 ● Probabilistic framework for integrated resilience analysis of urban infrastructure systems and application to a virtual city

• Hamidreza Noorbala Tafti

  2021-2023 ● Risk-based prioritization of highway bridge networks for seismic retrofit and health monitoring

• Mohammad Asadi

  2021-2023 ● Prioritization of a building portfolio for seismic retrofit based on risk

• Mohammadjavad Kamali Shakib

  2021-2023 ● Probabilistic framework for seismic risk analysis of industrial plants of the oil infrastructure

• Ali Lesani

  2020-2022 ● Seismic risk and resilience of a system of systems: Analysis of a virtual city

• Mohammad Khani Dehaj

  2020-2022 ● Emergency management decision support system based on Bayesian network

• Reza Mehdipour

  2020-2022 ● Development of procedures, forms, and tools for post-earthquake reconnaissance

• Kamiar Khayambashi

  2019-2021 ● Probabilistic modeling of water distribution infrastructure and its interdependencies in community resilience analysis

• Kasra Habibi

  2019-2021 ● Optimal target reliability for seismic design of midrise steel buildings based on detailed risk analysis

• Mohammad Nadery

  2019-2021 ● Probabilistic modeling of telecommunication network failure and recovery in community resilience analysis

• Mohammadali Ameri

  2019-2021 ● Bayesian model class selection and probabilistic system identification considering model complexity

• Yasin Zibaei

  2019-2021 ● Seismic risk analysis of the city of Golpayegan using reliability methods

• Javad Mansoori

  2018-2020 ● Probabilistic modeling framework for prediction of the seismic failure and damage of power stations

• Kooshan Amini

  2018-2020 ● Modeling post-traumatic stress disorder for community resilience analysis under earthquakes

• Maral Doctor Arastoo

  2018-2020 ● Modeling interdependent infrastructure systems using Bayesian network for emergency management

• Mehdi Taghizadeh

  2018-2020 ● Probabilistic modeling of transportation infrastructure and its interdependencies in community resilience analysis

• Mohammad Askari

  2018-2020 ● Modeling of epistemic uncertainties in seismic hazard analysis based on reliability methods

• Mahdi Naderi

  2017-2019 ● Optimal enhancement of community resilience through prioritization of recovery operations for interdependent infrastructures

• Mohammad Jeddi

  2017-2019 ● Derivation of fragility curves using endurance time method

• Mohsen Masoudifar

  2017-2019 ● Probabilistic output-only identification of soil-structure systems using a shear beam model

• Sina Biazar

  2017-2019 ● Probabilistic modeling of electric power infrastructure in community resilience analysis

• Amin Jabini

  2016-2018 ● Probabilistic identification of soil-foundation impedance function using Kalman filter

• Hossein Nasrazadani

  2016-2018 ● Probabilistic framework for evaluating community resilience

• Miramir Banihasehmi

  2016-2018 ● The effect of soil-structure interaction on the probability of collapse

• Mohammad Barkhori

  2016-2018 ● An efficient approach to quantifying the probability distribution of structural responses using endurance time analysis

• Soheil Mahmoudkalayeh

  2016-2018 ● Reliability-based evaluation and calibration of load combinations for the design of steel building structures of Iran

• Amin Ghasemi

  2015-2017 ● Web-based risk communication as a strategy for seismic risk mitigation

• Mohammad Aghababaei

  2015-2017 ● Probabilistic damage models for detailed risk analysis of buildings with reliability methods

• Nima Shirzad-Ghaleroudkhani

  2015-2017 ● Bayesian identification of soil-foundation stiffness using a Timoshenko beam model

• Shaghayegh Abtahi

  2015-2017 ● Probabilistic evaluation of nonlinear behavior of fixed- and flexible-base shear buildings

• Farid Khosravikia

  2014-2016 ● Seismic risk analysis considering soil-structure interaction

• Farid Mahmoudi Sahebi

  2014-2016 ● Numerical and experimental evaluation of steel moment resisting frames with shear fuse

• Hesam Talebiyan

  2014-2016 ● Optimal seismic risk mitigation by prioritization of structures for retrofit

• Mohammad Reza Yazdi-Samadi

  2014-2016 ● Time-variant seismic risk analysis of transportation networks considering economic and socioeconomic impacts

• Muhammad Ali Rostampour

  2014-2016 ● Probabilistic performance-based earthquake engineering by endurance time analysis

• Fariborz Mirzaie

  2013-2015 ● Probabilistic analysis of soil-structure interaction effects on the seismic performance of structures

• Hossain Rahimi

  2013-2015 ● Seismic hazard analysis using reliability methods

• Iman Faraji

  2013-2015 ● Time-variant reliability analysis of offshore structure subject to multiple hazards

• Bachelor's Students

  Ali Mohammadi Kamizji

  2023 ● Seismic risk analysis of a gas sweetening industrial unit

• Hesam Zanganeh Bighashi

  2023 ● Optimal design base shear coefficient for special reinforced concrete moment frames through minimizing the lifecycle cost

• Danial Dashti Dariyan

  2022 ● Assessment of the simplified design method of the Iranian concrete design code based on lifecycle cost

• Samira Sheikha

  2022 ● Generating dataset using labeled building images for seismic damage assessment

• Sina Sepehri

  2021 ● The effect of plan shape and element typing along the height on the seismic risk of reinforced concrete moment frames

• Mohammadjavad Kamali Shakib

  2020 ● Seismic risk analysis of “Tarasht 3” dormitory building

• Narjes Shayesteh

  2020 ● Seismic risk analysis of bridges of the City of Tehran using reliability methods and probabilistic models

• Hamidreza Noorbala Tafti

  2019 ● Probabilistic models for the yield strength of reinforcing bars and comprehensive strength of concrete based on Bayesian linear regression

• Mohammad Asadi

  2019 ● Seismic risk analysis of the building portfolio of Tehran Municipality

• Seyed Mahmoud Mollahosseini

  2019 ● Manufacturing laboratory specimens for a small-scale shaking table

• Mirmohammad Shamszadeh

  2018 ● Uncertainty quantification in modeling of buildings using equivalent shear beam models

• Parsa Taghvaei

  2018 ● Analysis of the nonlinear behavior of reinforced concrete shear wall buildings for probabilistic seismic performance assessment

• Mahdi Naderi

  2016 ● Uncertainty quantification for the approximation of steel structures by Timoshenko beam through mass modeling

• Siavash Yousefi Jordehi

  2016 ● Design and implementation of a sustainable development platform for Rt

• Amin Jabini

  2015 ● Probabilistic assessment of the effect of soil-structure interaction on the ductility demand of conventional buildings

• Kosar Mozaffari

  2015 ● Probabilistic modeling of damage to bridges using Bayesian linear regression

• Rassa Ghavami

  2015 ● Parallel processing in reliability analysis

• Seyed Mohammad Sadegh Mortazavi

  2015 ● The case study of the risk analysis of buildings at the campus of Sharif University of Technology

• Hossein Nasrazadani

  2014 ● Probabilistic prediction of the retrofit cost of masonry buildings

• Amin Ghasemi

  2013 ● Web-based system for data collection and seismic risk analysis of buildings

12

Rt & Rtx

• Rt is a computer program for reliability and risk analysis with a library probabilistic models

• For further information on Rt, visit the UBC website here

• To cite Rt, please use: Mahsuli, M., Haukaas, T. (2013) “Computer program for multimodel reliability and optimization analysis,” ASCE Journal of Computing in Civil Engineering, 27(1): 87-98 • DOI

• Rtx is derived from Rt, and is a computer program for reliability, risk, and resilience analysis

• For further information on Rtx, including examples and download links, visit rtx.civil.sharif.edu

• To cite Rtx, in addition to the abovementioned citation, please use: Nasrazadani, H., Mahsuli, M. (2020) “Probabilistic framework for evaluating community resilience: Integration of risk models and agent-based simulation,” ASCE Journal of Structural Engineering, 146 (11): 04020250 • DOI